Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.