Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sydney FC had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Sydney FC win it was 2-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.