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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 10, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne City

Sydney FC
2 - 1
Melbourne City

Lolley (23'), le Fondre (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
MacLaren (22' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 12 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, November 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sydney FC had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Sydney FC win it was 2-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne City
21.85% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)22.6% (-0.055 -0.05)55.54% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.79% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.33% (0.155 0.16)43.67% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.94% (0.152 0.15)66.06% (-0.151 -0.15)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)33.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.02 0.02)70.58% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (0.099000000000004 0.1)15.58% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44% (0.183 0.18)44.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 21.85%
    Melbourne City 55.54%
    Draw 22.6%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 21.85%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.13%
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.66% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 55.54%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Melbourne City

Sydney FC
10.0%
Draw
15.0%
Melbourne City
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 10.05am
Melbourne City
4-0
Sydney FC
Bos (26'), Leckie (55', 72'), MacLaren (70')

le Fondre (32'), Yazbek (35'), Talbot (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC
1-2
Melbourne City
Ninkovic (53')
Grant (41'), O'Toole (66'), Barbarouses (90+2')
Retre (32' og.), Leckie (90+1')
Berenguer (72'), MacLaren (74')
Jun 27, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-1
Sydney FC
Atkinson (23'), Jamieson (45+1' pen.), Galloway (90+3')
Tilio (54'), Colakovski (73')
Barbarouses (21')
Brattan (25')
Brattan (35')
Apr 10, 2021 8.05am
Sydney FC
1-1
Melbourne City
Barbarouses (54')
Retre (29'), Barbarouses (65')
MacLaren (90+8' pen.)
Berenguer (37')
Feb 23, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-2
Sydney FC
MacLaren (8', 54'), Luna (28')
Metcalfe (59')
Ninkovic (72'), Wood (90')
Wilkinson (11'), Retre (30'), Grant (30'), Caceres (36'), McGowan (77')