Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 27, 2022 6.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Jamie MacLaren 39' goal

Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 10, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC 2 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Jamie MacLaren

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 21, 2022 8.00am
Central Coast 3 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jason Cummings

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Melbourne City 61.72% (+0.51)
Draw 20.49% (-0.11)
Central Coast Mariners 17.79% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.08% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 60% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 40% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 37.64% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 62.36% (+0.19)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 87.53% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 12.47% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 61.57% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 38.43% (-0.19)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 64.07% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 35.93% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 27.29% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 72.71% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 61.72%
Draw 20.49%
Central Coast Mariners 17.79%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 9.33% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.9% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.74% (+0.13)
4-1 @ 3.59% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3.51% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.46% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 61.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.48% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.49%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 17.79%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Feb 22, 2022 8.55am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mathew Leckie 13' yellowcard
  • Tom Glover 35' yellowcard
  • Aiden O'Neill 48' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 45'+7' goal
  • Florin Berenguer 57' goal
  • Scott Galloway 72' yellowcard
  • Marco Tilio 74' goal
  • yellowcard Beni N'Kololo 7'
  • goal Beni N'Kololo 45'
  • goal Oliver Bozanic 65'
  • yellowcard Nick Montgomery 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2022 5.05am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marco Urena 41' goal
  • Jacob Farrell 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Bos 16'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 18'
  • yellowcard Kerrin Stokes 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Connor Metcalfe 55'
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 57'
  • goal Carl Jenkinson 84'
  • yellowcard Florin Berenguer 84'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
May 22, 2021 10.10am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Noone 32' yellowcard
  • Craig Noone 59' goal
  • Marco Tilio 63' yellowcard
  • Aiden O'Neill 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Simon 10'
  • yellowcard Alen Stajcic 63'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Mar 22, 2021 8.05am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Jamie MacLaren 31' goal
  • Connor Metcalfe 45' yellowcard
  • Adrian Luna 49' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 56' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Bozanic 42'
  • yellowcard Ruan Tongyik 52'
  • yellowcard Alen Stajcic 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Feb 3, 2021 8.05am
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jaden Cassella 41' goal
  • Jaden Cassella 53' yellowcard
  • Matt Simon 57' goal
  • Daniel De Silva 80' goal
  • goal Adrian Luna 23'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 31'
  • yellowcard Kerrin Stokes 35'
  • redcard Kerrin Stokes 60'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 64'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Mar 20, 2020 6.30am
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jordan Murray 2' goal
  • Lewis Miller 61' yellowcard
  • Jordan Murray 69' goal
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 5'
  • goal Markel Susaeta 10'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 48'
  • yellowcard Craig Noone 53'
  • yellowcard Joshua Brillante 66'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 74'