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Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 27, 2022 at 6.30am UK
AAMI Park
Central Coast Mariners

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Central Coast

MacLaren (39')
Talbot (49'), van der Venne (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tulio (12'), N'Kololo (53'), Kuol (79'), Ruhs (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 3-0 Newcastle Jets
Wednesday, December 21 at 8am in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne City 2-2 Central Coast Mariners

 Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners have enjoyed a solid campaign so far and find themselves in the upper echelons of the table. While Montgomery's men will be looking to maintain their fine run, the City have been near impenetrable on home turf this season. We predict both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
61.72% (0.508 0.51) 20.49% (-0.107 -0.11) 17.79% (-0.398 -0.4)
Both teams to score 56.08% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (-0.177 -0.18)40% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (-0.183 -0.18)62.36% (0.184 0.18)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (0.090000000000003 0.09)12.47% (-0.089 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.57% (0.187 0.19)38.43% (-0.186 -0.19)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)35.93% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29% (-0.563 -0.56)72.71% (0.56400000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 61.72%
    Central Coast Mariners 17.79%
    Draw 20.49%
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.145 0.15)
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.74% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.59% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.46% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 61.72%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 17.79%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Central Coast

Melbourne City
71.0%
Draw
16.1%
Central Coast Mariners
12.9%
31
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2022 8.55am
Melbourne City
3-2
Central Coast
MacLaren (45+7' pen.), Berenguer (57'), Tilio (74')
Leckie (13'), Glover (35'), O'Neill (48'), Galloway (72')
N'Kololo (45'), Bozanic (65')
N'Kololo (7'), Montgomery (90+2')
Jan 23, 2022 5.05am
Central Coast
1-3
Melbourne City
Urena (41')
Farrell (59')
MacLaren (18'), Nabbout (57'), Jenkinson (84')
Bos (16'), Stokes (45+2'), Metcalfe (55'), Berenguer (84')
May 22, 2021 10.10am
Melbourne City
1-0
Central Coast
Noone (59')
Noone (32'), Tilio (63'), O'Neill (66')

Simon (10'), Stajcic (63')
Mar 22, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
2-0
Central Coast
MacLaren (31'), Atkinson (56')
Metcalfe (45'), Luna (49')

Bozanic (42'), Tongyik (52'), Stajcic (85')
Feb 3, 2021 8.05am
Central Coast
3-2
Melbourne City
Cassella (41'), Simon (57' pen.), De Silva (80')
Cassella (53')
Luna (23'), MacLaren (31')
Stokes (35'), Atkinson (64')
Stokes (60')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
2Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26164647272052
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2695125251132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322
> Australian A-League Full Table


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