Adelaide United
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Macarthur
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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 20, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Macarthur

Adelaide United
1 - 0
Macarthur

Clough (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Victory
Saturday, January 14 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, January 13 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMacarthur
53.75% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)22.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.28% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)43.68% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)66.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)16.21% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)45.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37%32.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82%69.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 53.75%
    Macarthur 23.28%
    Draw 22.96%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 5.49%
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 23.28%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Macarthur

Adelaide United
41.1%
Draw
19.6%
Macarthur
39.3%
56
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 5am
Macarthur
2-0
Adelaide United
Arzani (27'), Rose (57')
Arzani (28')
Apr 8, 2022 10.45am
Adelaide United
1-0
Macarthur
Ibusuki (45+1')
Brook (56'), Ibusuki (81')

Uskok (87'), (87')
Feb 19, 2022 8.45am
Macarthur
4-1
Adelaide United
Giannou (43'), Noone (67'), Toure (73'), Ruhs (90+1')
Susnjar (28'), Noone (31'), McGing (75')
Goodwin (20')
Goodwin (46'), Caletti (72')
Apr 14, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
3-1
Macarthur
Juric (15'), Goodwin (72' pen.), Halloran (81')
Halloran (43'), Juande (65')
Derbyshire (33')
Rose (70'), Popovic (88')
Feb 12, 2021 8.05am
Macarthur
4-0
Adelaide United
Derbyshire (66', 73', 90'), Milligan (83')

Halloran (3'), Mauk (58')