Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 13, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
1 - 2
Central Coast

Millar (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tulio (4'), Cummings (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, January 8 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, January 7 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
37.19% ( 0.01)	24.34% ( 0.01)	38.47% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.19% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.48% (

-0.04)

42.53% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

-0.04)

64.93% (

0.04)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

-0.02)

22.74% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58% (

-0.02)

56.42% (

0.02)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

-0.03)

22.09% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.55% (

-0.04)

55.45% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 37.19%

Central Coast Mariners 38.47%

Draw 24.34%

Macarthur	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.19%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.34%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.47%