Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Jan 13, 2023 8.45am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
  • Matthew Millar 57' goal
  • goal Marco Tulio 4'
  • goal Jason Cummings 26'

Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 8, 2023 4.00am
Macarthur 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Matthew Millar

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 7, 2023 6.00am
Central Coast 4 - 0 Adelaide United
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jason Cummings

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result

Macarthur 37.19% (+0.01)
Draw 24.34% (+0.02)
Central Coast Mariners 38.47% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.19% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.48% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 42.53% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 35.07% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 64.93% (+0.05)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5 77.26% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.74% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.58% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.42% (+0.03)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 77.91% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 22.09% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 44.55% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.45% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Macarthur 37.19%
Draw 24.34%
Central Coast Mariners 38.47%
Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.32% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.44% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.34%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.59% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.73% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 38.47%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Nov 13, 2022 4.00am
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Garang Kuol 65' goal
  • Garang Kuol 72' goal
  • goal Alhassan Toure 14'
  • goal Jonathan Aspropotamitis 48'
  • goal Jed Drew 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 19, 2022 6.05am
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marco Urena 27' goal
  • Matthew Hatch 48' goal
  • Noah Smith 57' goal
  • Storm Roux 64' yellowcard
  • Marco Urena 82' goal
  • yellowcard Charles M'Mombwa 5'
  • yellowcard Jordon Mutch 32'
  • goal Adrian Mariappa 45'+1'
  • goal Lachlan Rose 88'
  • yellowcard Craig Noone 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Feb 10, 2022 8.45am
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jacob Farrell 33' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Susnjar 40' goal
  • Joshua Nisbet 43' yellowcard
  • Oliver Bozanic 76' goal
  • Moresche 86' goal
  • goal Tommy Oar 25'
  • goal Adrian Mariappa 34'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Susnjar 65'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruhs 68'
  • yellowcard Moudi Najjar 74'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mariappa 75'
  • goal Craig Noone 90'
  • yellowcard Jake McGing 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Dec 5, 2021 5.05am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oliver Bozanic 45' goal
  • Tomislav Uskok 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruan Tongyik 15'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 31'
  • yellowcard Harrison Steele 61'
  • yellowcard Jacob Farrell 83'
Australian A-League
Jun 12, 2021 10.05am
0
2
HT : 0 0
ET Central Coast Stadium
  • Daniel Hall 21' yellowcard
  • Jack Clisby 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Milligan 37'
  • yellowcard Antonis Martis 44'
  • redcard James Meredith 75'
  • goal Stefan Nigro 93' (OG)
  • yellowcard Charles M'Mombwa 95'
  • yellowcard Markel Susaeta 100'
  • yellowcard Anthony Golec 106'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruhs 119'
  • goal Michael Ruhs 120'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
May 27, 2021 10.05am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Markel Susaeta 17' goal
  • Aleksandar Susnjar 40' yellowcard
  • Matt Derbyshire 82' yellowcard
  • Denis Genreau 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Clisby 31'
  • yellowcard Joshua Nisbet 37'
  • goal Daniel De Silva 55'
  • yellowcard Ruan Tongyik 73'
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 78'