Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 8, 2023 at 4am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
2 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Toure (43'), Davila (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-0 Macarthur
Sunday, January 1 at 6am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Sydney FC
Sunday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
42.01% (-0.832 -0.83)25.41% (0.268 0.27)32.58% (0.567 0.57)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.689 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (-0.99299999999999 -0.99)48.23% (0.996 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-0.913 -0.91)70.38% (0.917 0.92)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.824 -0.82)22.84% (0.827 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (-1.234 -1.23)56.57% (1.238 1.24)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.92% (-0.121 -0.12)28.08% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-0.156 -0.16)63.74% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 42.01%
    Newcastle Jets 32.58%
    Draw 25.4%
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.157 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.303 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.066 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.58%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Newcastle Jets
18.2%
22
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 7.05am
Macarthur
0-3
Newcastle Jets

De Silva (3'), Noone (84')
Siatravanis (4'), Yuel (66'), Mikeltadze (73')
Thurgate (34')
Feb 26, 2022 6.05am
Newcastle Jets
2-2
Macarthur
Mikeltadze (32' pen.), Babalj (79')
Hoffman (25'), Ingham (47')
Uskok (21'), Oar (60')
Uskok (12'), Rose (26'), Oar (53'), Ruhs (90+4')
Dec 19, 2021 5.05am
Macarthur
2-1
Newcastle Jets
De Silva (48'), Meredith (84')
Noone (38'), M'Mombwa (45+2'), Uskok (51'), Najjar (78'), Rose (90+1')
Kurto (18')
Mikeltadze (35')
Mikeltadze (76')
Apr 18, 2021 9.10am
Macarthur
2-2
Newcastle Jets
M'Mombwa (36'), Puyo (45+2')
Rose (7')
O'Donovan (27' pen.), Ugarkovic (57')
Stamatelopoulos (51'), Krasniqi (83')
Jan 17, 2021 5.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Macarthur
Yuel (42')
Boogaard (41'), Abbas (90+4')
Puyo (8'), Derbyshire (23')
Etxebarria (31'), Hollman (75'), Milligan (84'), Federici (85'), Ruhs (88')