Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Macarthur
Jan 8, 2023 4.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Newcastle Jets
  • Alhassan Toure 43' goal
  • Ulises Davila 78' goal

Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 1, 2023 6.00am
Western Sydney 4 - 0 Macarthur
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Matthew Millar

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 1, 2023 4.00am
Newcastle Jets 0 - 2 Sydney FC
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Beka Mikeltadze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result

Macarthur 42.01% ▼ (-0.84)
Draw 25.41% ▲ (+0.27)
Newcastle Jets 32.58% ▲ (+0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.49% ▼ (-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.77% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 48.23% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 3.5 29.62% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 3.5 70.38% ▲ (+0.92)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5 77.16% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 0.5 22.84% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 1.5 43.43% ▼ (-1.24)
Under 1.5 56.57% ▲ (+1.24)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 71.92% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 28.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 36.26% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 63.74% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Macarthur 42.01%
Draw 25.4%
Newcastle Jets 32.58%
Macarthur
1-0 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% ▲ (+0.16)
0-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
Newcastle Jets
0-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.31)
1-2 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.58%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Macarthur
May 1, 2022 7.05am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Newcastle Jets
  • Daniel De Silva 3' yellowcard
  • Craig Noone 84' yellowcard
  • goal Savvas Siatravanis 4'
  • yellowcard Angus Thurgate 34'
  • goal Valentino Yuel 66'
  • goal Beka Mikeltadze 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Newcastle Jets
Feb 26, 2022 6.05am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Macarthur
  • Jason Hoffman 25' yellowcard
  • Beka Mikeltadze 32' goal
  • Dane Ingham 47' yellowcard
  • Eli Babalj 79' goal
  • yellowcard Tomislav Uskok 12'
  • goal Tomislav Uskok 21'
  • yellowcard Liam Rose 26'
  • yellowcard Tommy Oar 53'
  • goal Tommy Oar 60'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruhs 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Macarthur
Dec 19, 2021 5.05am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Newcastle Jets
  • Filip Kurto 18' redcard
  • Craig Noone 38' yellowcard
  • Charles M'Mombwa 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Daniel De Silva 48' goal
  • Tomislav Uskok 51' yellowcard
  • Moudi Najjar 78' yellowcard
  • James Meredith 84' goal
  • Lachlan Rose 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Beka Mikeltadze 35'
  • yellowcard Beka Mikeltadze 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Macarthur
Apr 18, 2021 9.10am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Newcastle Jets
  • Liam Rose 7' yellowcard
  • Charles M'Mombwa 36' goal
  • Loic Puyo 45'+2' goal
  • goal Roy O'Donovan 27'
  • yellowcard Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 51'
  • goal Steven Ugarkovic 57'
  • yellowcard Liridon Krasniqi 83'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Newcastle Jets
Jan 17, 2021 5.05am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Macarthur
  • Nigel Boogaard 41' yellowcard
  • Valentino Yuel 42' goal
  • Ali Abbas Mshehid Al Hilfi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ali Abbas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Loic Puyo 8'
  • goal Matt Derbyshire 23'
  • yellowcard Benat Etxebarria 31'
  • yellowcard Jake Hollman 75'
  • yellowcard Mark Milligan 84'
  • yellowcard Adam Federici 85'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruhs 88'

Form Data

Western Sydney 4 - 0 Macarthur
Sydney FC 0 - 3 Macarthur
Macarthur 1 - 0 Perth Glory
Macarthur 0 - 1 Victory
Central Coast 2 - 3 Macarthur
Wellington 4 - 1 Macarthur
Newcastle Jets 0 - 2 Sydney FC
Adelaide United 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Central Coast 3 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Central Coast 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets 1 - 2 Melbourne City