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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 21, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Melbourne City

Brisbane Roar
0 - 0
Melbourne City

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, January 14 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, January 15 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
17.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)21.03% (0.012999999999998 0.01)61.88%
Both teams to score 52.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)43.63% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)66.02% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.08% (-0.073 -0.07)38.91% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)75.64% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)13.56% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)40.65% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 17.09%
    Melbourne City 61.87%
    Draw 21.03%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
1-0 @ 4.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.35%
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 17.09%
1-1 @ 9.95% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.03%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.53% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 7.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.62% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 61.87%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City

Brisbane Roar
15.8%
Draw
10.5%
Melbourne City
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 9.45am
Mar 23, 2022 8.35am
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Melbourne City
Hore (9')
Aldred (90+1')
Trewin (14' og.), Borges Rodrigues (49')
Berenguer (67'), Hall (90+4')
Nov 19, 2021 8.45am
May 25, 2021 10.05am
Brisbane Roar
3-0
Melbourne City
O'Shea (6' pen., 52' pen.), Parsons (38')
Akbari (34'), Wenzel-Halls (36')

Mills (51'), Reis (61'), Berenguer (69')
May 9, 2021 7.05am
Melbourne City
3-2
Brisbane Roar
Metcalfe (14'), Trewin (17' og.), Galloway (73')
Reis (46'), Galloway (49'), Nabbout (86'), O'Neill (87')
Champness (28'), Gillesphey (38')
Daley (32')