Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.