Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.