Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Jan 27, 2023 at 8.45am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
4 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Sotirio (52'), Buhagiar (72'), Mikeltadze (76'), Goodwin (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, January 22 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 21 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Brisbane Roar
33.84% ( 0.45)	25.06% ( -0.23)	41.1% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 57.06% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.64% (

1.15)

46.36% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35% (

1.07)

68.65% (

-1.07)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

0.83)

26.4% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

1.08)

61.56% (

-1.08)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

0.39)

22.47% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

0.58)

56.03% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 33.84%

Brisbane Roar 41.1%

Draw 25.06%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Brisbane Roar
1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.84%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.1%