Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.