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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 15, 2023 at 6am UK
Whitten Oval
Newcastle Jets

Western Utd
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Wales (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stynes (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Western Utd
Saturday, January 7 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, January 8 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
48.34% (0.569 0.57)24.2% (-0.297 -0.3)27.46% (-0.275 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.58% (0.767 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52% (1.114 1.11)45.47% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.19% (1.054 1.05)67.8% (-1.058 -1.06)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (0.66999999999999 0.67)18.91% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (1.106 1.11)50.4% (-1.11 -1.11)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.372 0.37)30.22% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (0.445 0.45)66.38% (-0.447 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Western United 48.34%
    Newcastle Jets 27.46%
    Draw 24.2%
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.258 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Newcastle Jets

Western United
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Newcastle Jets
0.0%
8
Head to Head
May 4, 2022 10.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Western Utd
Elsey (52')
Elsey (47'), Wilson (61')
Bayew (27')
Kilkenny (75'), Lacroix (90+5')
Mar 5, 2022 4.05am
Western Utd
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Lacroix (16', 52')
Kilkenny (25'), Skotadis (62'), Topor-Stanley (90+3')
Thurgate (81')
Hoffman (40'), Penha (49'), Boumal (74'), Thurgate (90+1')
Apr 26, 2021 10.05am
Western Utd
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Topor-Stanley (12' og.), Pierias (69')
Pierias (57')

Yuel (26'), O'Donovan (60'), Krasniqi (80')
Apr 5, 2021 8.05am
Newcastle Jets
0-1
Western Utd

Prso (13'), Topor-Stanley (45+1'), Millar (73'), Abbas (90')
Wales (1')
Hamill (67')
Aug 2, 2020 10.30am
Newcastle Jets
1-0
Western Utd
O'Donovan (29')
Boogaard (71'), Ugarkovic (81')

Skotadis (62'), Durante (90+1')