MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 23:12:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Whitten Oval
Adelaide United

Western Utd
2 - 3
Adelaide United

Botic (43'), Prijovic (48')
Prijovic (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clough (68'), Kitto (76'), Goodwin (86' pen.)
Irankunda (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, February 5 at 4am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Western United 1-2 Adelaide United

 This is likely going to be a close match despite the difference between them in the league as Western United have been in good form overall as of late. At home the Western Service Crew tend to provide a stern test for any team, but it is something the visitors should just be able to overcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
41.57% (0.539 0.54) 23.81% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 34.62% (-0.474 -0.47)
Both teams to score 61.78% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (0.185 0.19)40.3% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (0.189 0.19)62.67% (-0.184 -0.18)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.321 0.32)19.67% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (0.516 0.52)51.66% (-0.512 -0.51)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (-0.172 -0.17)23.09% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (-0.255 -0.25)56.94% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Western United 41.57%
    Adelaide United 34.62%
    Draw 23.8%
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 34.62%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Adelaide United

Western United
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
Adelaide United
88.2%
17
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 6am
Western Utd
2-4
Adelaide United
Milanovic (53'), Pierias (90+1')
Ibusuki (9'), Goodwin (22'), Lacroix (31' og.), Halloran (79')
D'Arrigo (45')
May 8, 2022 9.20am
Adelaide United
2-1
Western Utd
Lopez (14'), Kitto (51')
Popovic (20'), Gauci (77'), D'Arrigo (90+3')
Wenzel-Halls (5')
Prijovic (41'), Garuccio (90+2')
Dec 17, 2021 8.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Adelaide United
Pain (44')
Topor-Stanley (25'), Risdon (49'), Lacroix (53')

Juande (24'), Tratt (62'), Sanchez (65')
Apr 30, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
0-0
Western Utd

D'Arrigo (16'), Halloran (32'), Goodwin (41'), Elsey (83'), Toure (84'), Toure (90')
Toure (90+4')

Sanchez (15'), Durante (90')
Sanchez (36')
Dec 28, 2020 8.05am
Western Utd
0-0
Adelaide United

Sanchez (37'), Diamanti (45+2'), Wales (56'), Calver (64'), A (65'), Lustica (90+2')

Smith (20'), Elsey (24'), Caletti (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
2Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26164647272052
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2695125251132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322
> Australian A-League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!