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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 28, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Central Coast
2 - 2
Western Sydney

Silvera (30'), Cummings (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ngbakoto (35'), Borrello (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Central Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 2am in Australian A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, January 22 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
44.25% (0.14700000000001 0.15)24.21% (-0.067 -0.07)31.54% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.2% (0.201 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (0.279 0.28)43.19% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (0.274 0.27)65.59% (-0.271 -0.27)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (0.17800000000001 0.18)19.7% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (0.287 0.29)51.7% (-0.285 -0.28)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (0.088000000000008 0.09)26.28% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (0.11499999999999 0.11)61.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 44.25%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 31.54%
    Draw 24.2%
Central Coast MarinersDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 31.54%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Western Sydney

Central Coast Mariners
72.2%
Draw
22.2%
Western Sydney Wanderers
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 8.45am
Western Sydney
0-3
Central Coast

Traore (1')
Ruhs (66', 72'), Silvera (81')
Apr 13, 2022 10.05am
Western Sydney
2-2
Central Coast
Rowles (41' og.), Petratos (54')
Baccus (56'), Traore (58'), Troisi (77')
N'Kololo (64' pen.), Hall (90+5')
Kuol (84')
Miller (48')
Dec 18, 2021 6.05am
Central Coast
2-0
Western Sydney
Goddard (59'), Bozanic (90+7')
Steele (10'), Miller (69'), Bozanic (90+8')

Antonis (19'), Williams (56'), Koutroumbis (90+1')
Apr 6, 2021 10.05am
Western Sydney
2-2
Central Coast
Kamau (74', 78')
Simon (22'), Bozanic (83' pen.)
Tongyik (27')
Jan 19, 2021 8.05am
Central Coast
0-1
Western Sydney

Kuol (2'), Simon (36'), Stensness (90+1')
Muller (83')