MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 07:03:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 22, 2023 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Wellington
2 - 1
Central Coast

Rufer (32'), Zawada (40')
Rufer (45'), Talay (82'), Elliot (90+5'), Zawada (90+8'), Sail (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
N'Kololo (90+2')
Roux (13'), N'Kololo (25'), Triantis (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, January 14 at 6am in Australian A-League

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, January 13 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Wellington Phoenix 1-3 Central Coast Mariners

 Wellington Phoenix have shown their defensive qualities as of late, but they come up against the strongest attacking team in the division this weekend which could be difficult. The visitors should have enough attacking quality to cause some real problems here and will likely take the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
40.1% (-1.059 -1.06) 24.13% (-0.116 -0.12) 35.77% (1.18 1.18)
Both teams to score 60.81% (0.681 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34% (0.782 0.78)41.66% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94% (0.787 0.79)64.06% (-0.783 -0.78)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.157 -0.16)20.92% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.249 -0.25)53.65% (0.251 0.25)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (1.014 1.01)23.1% (-1.01 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (1.461 1.46)56.95% (-1.458 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 40.1%
    Central Coast Mariners 35.77%
    Draw 24.13%
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 40.1%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.155 0.16)
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.189 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.134 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.132 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.109 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.081 0.08)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.77%

How you voted: Wellington vs Central Coast

Wellington Phoenix
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Central Coast Mariners
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 3am
Wellington
2-2
Central Coast
Waine (57'), Ayongo (89' og.)
Silvera (59'), Cummings (64')
Kelechi (16')
Apr 17, 2022 4.05am
Wellington
0-4
Central Coast

Ball (34'), McGarry (54')
N'Kololo (25'), Cummings (62'), Moresche (65'), Hatch (90+6')
Nisbet (32'), N'Kololo (77')
Apr 5, 2022 10.05am
Central Coast
5-0
Wellington
Urena (8' pen.), N'Kololo (24'), Cummings (55' pen.), Kuol (68'), Hatch (90+3')

Fenton (89'), Wootton (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
2-1
Central Coast
Hooper (48'), Sotirio (63')
Urena (52')
Feb 14, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
0-2
Central Coast

Ball (27')
Simon (40'), Bozanic (50' pen.)
Miller (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322
> Australian A-League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!