Adelaide United
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Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 7, 2023 at 6am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Sydney FC
0 - 1
Wellington

FT(HT: 0-1)
Zawada (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Sydney FC
Sunday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-3 Melbourne City
Monday, January 2 at 2am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
49.63% (-0.151 -0.15)23.3% (0.010999999999999 0.01)27.07% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.34% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)41.68% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.91% (0.054000000000002 0.05)64.08% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)16.96% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (-0.061 -0.06)47.04% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (0.125 0.13)28.54% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (0.159 0.16)64.32% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 49.63%
    Wellington Phoenix 27.07%
    Draw 23.29%
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 49.63%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 27.07%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Wellington

Sydney FC
84.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wellington Phoenix
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 6.05am
Wellington
1-1
Sydney FC
Ball (43')
Sandoval (40'), Laws (45+1')
Bobo (67')
Kamsoba (45+1'), Amini (74'), Caceres (78')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45am
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
Kamsoba (19'), Le Fondre (57')
Retre (61')
Waine (83')
Feb 8, 2021 8.10am
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
Barbarouses (32', 64')
Brattan (27'), Nieuwenhof (34'), Barbarouses (41'), Grant (61')
Davila (90+3')
Rufer (29'), Ball (90+7')
Jan 2, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
1-2
Sydney FC
Muratovic (45+1')
Payne (44'), Laws (67')
Nieuwenhof (29'), Brattan (55')
Warland (5'), Nieuwenhof (25'), Caceres (36'), Buhagiar (61'), Brattan (66')
Jul 17, 2020 10.30am
Sydney FC
3-1
Wellington
Le Fondre (76' pen.), Buhagiar (88', 90')
Baumjohann (85')
Piscopo (66' pen.)
Rufer (38'), Sotirio (62')
rhs 2.0


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