Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2023 8.45am
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Lachlan Barr 45'+3' goal
  • Craig Goodwin 50' goal
  • Louis D'Arrigo 57' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 85' goal
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 9'
  • goal Marco Tilio 62'

Adelaide United vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 4.00am
Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Craig Goodwin

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 6.00am
Melbourne City 3 - 2 Sydney FC
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Jamie MacLaren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Adelaide United 23.95% (+0.34)
Draw 22.27% (+0.24)
Melbourne City 53.77% (-0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.69% (-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.23% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 39.77% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 37.87% (-0.77)
Under 3.5 62.13% (+0.77)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 70.08% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 29.92% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 33.97% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.02% (+0.15)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 85.18% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 14.82% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 56.89% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 43.11% (+0.85)

Score analysis

Adelaide United 23.95%
Draw 22.27%
Melbourne City 53.77%
Adelaide United
2-1 @ 6.16% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 5.35% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 3.23% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.48% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.3% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 23.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.43% (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.27%
Melbourne City
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.47% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 8.08% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.21% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 5.14% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 2.96% (-0.10)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.07)
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 53.77%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 29, 2023 4.00am
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT AAMI Park
  • Thomas Lam 12' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 52' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 90'+2' goal
  • goal George Blackwood 1'
  • goal Ryan Kitto 17'
  • goal Craig Goodwin 43'
Australian A-League
May 22, 2022 5.05am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Andrew Nabbout 17' yellowcard
  • Mathew Leckie 34' yellowcard
  • Marco Tilio 74' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 92' goal
  • Marco Tilio 105' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kusini Yengi 7'
  • goal Zach Clough 48'
  • yellowcard Juande 80'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Oliveira 116'
Australian A-League
May 18, 2022 10.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • yellowcard Connor Metcalfe 60'
  • yellowcard Nuno Reis 61'
  • yellowcard Mathew Leckie 76'
  • yellowcard Stefan Colakovski 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2022 8.55am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jamie MacLaren 11' goal
  • Nuno Reis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo Oliveira 10'
  • yellowcard Juande 17'
  • goal Javi Lopez 20'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 42'
  • yellowcard Lachlan Barr 67'
  • goal Mohamed Toure 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Jan 15, 2022 8.45am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Caletti 12' yellowcard
  • Juande 43' yellowcard
  • George Blackwood 60' goal
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 84' goal
  • yellowcard Scott Jamieson 16'
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 24'
  • yellowcard Scott Galloway 35'
  • yellowcard Nuno Reis 58'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 66'
  • redcard Nuno Reis 70'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Nov 27, 2021 8.45am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Javi Lopez 58' yellowcard
  • Josh Cavallo 75' yellowcard
  • Stefan Mauk 78' goal
  • Ben Halloran 90' goal
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 28'
  • yellowcard Scott Jamieson 36'
  • yellowcard Aiden O'Neill 52'
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 61'
  • yellowcard Andrew Nabbout 72'
  • yellowcard Connor Metcalfe 89'