Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Melbourne City
Feb 25, 2023 6.00am
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT AAMI Park
Sydney FC
  • Jamie MacLaren 5' goal
  • Marco Tilio 13' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 30' goal
  • goal Robert Mak 28'
  • goal Diego Caballo 90'+6'

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 8.45am
Victory 3 - 2 Melbourne City
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Jamie MacLaren

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 6.00am
Sydney FC 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Adam le Fondre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.49%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Melbourne City 56.49% ▼ (-0.19)
Draw 21.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Sydney FC 21.87% ▲ (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.12% ▲ (+0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.72% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 39.28% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 38.39% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 61.61% ▼ (-0.38)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 86.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 13.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 58.9% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 41.1% ▼ (-0.13)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 68.57% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 0.5 31.43% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 1.5 32.19% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 67.8% ▼ (-0.45)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 56.49%
Draw 21.65%
Sydney FC 21.87%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 56.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.65%
Sydney FC
1-2 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 21.87%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Sydney FC
Dec 10, 2022 8.45am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Joe Lolley 23' goal
  • Adam le Fondre 61' goal
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 22'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Melbourne City
Apr 6, 2022 10.05am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Sydney FC
  • Jordan Bos 26' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 55' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 70' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 72' goal
  • yellowcard Adam le Fondre 32'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 35'
  • yellowcard Callum Talbot 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Sydney FC
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Melbourne City
  • Rhyan Grant 41' yellowcard
  • Milos Ninkovic 53' goal
  • Connor O'Toole 66' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Retre 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Florin Berenguer 72'
  • yellowcard Jamie MacLaren 74'
  • goal Mathew Leckie 90'+1'
Australian A-League
Melbourne City
Jun 27, 2021 8.05am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Sydney FC
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 23' goal
  • Scott Jamieson 45'+1' goal
  • Marco Tilio 54' yellowcard
  • Stefan Colakovski 73' yellowcard
  • Scott Galloway 90'+3' goal
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 21'
  • yellowcard Luke Brattan 25'
  • redcard Luke Brattan 35'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Sydney FC
Apr 10, 2021 8.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Melbourne City
  • Paulo Retre 29' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 54' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florin Berenguer 37'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 90'+8'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Melbourne City
Feb 23, 2021 8.05am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Sydney FC
  • Jamie MacLaren 8' goal
  • Adrian Luna 28' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 54' goal
  • Connor Metcalfe 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Wilkinson 11'
  • yellowcard Paulo Retre 30'
  • yellowcard Rhyan Grant 30'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caceres 36'
  • goal Milos Ninkovic 72'
  • yellowcard Ryan McGowan 77'
  • goal Patrick Wood 90'

Form Data

Victory 3 - 2 Melbourne City
Perth Glory 2 - 4 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 6 - 1 Macarthur
Melbourne City 3 - 3 Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar 0 - 0 Melbourne City
Western Sydney 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Sydney FC 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Western Sydney 0 - 1 Sydney FC
Sydney FC 3 - 2 Central Coast
Victory 1 - 2 Sydney FC
Western Utd 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Perth Glory 2 - 2 Sydney FC