Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 26, 2023 7.45am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Jake Brimmer 26' goal
  • goal Max Burgess 32'
  • goal Adam le Fondre 52'

Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
Perth Glory 3 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 6.00am
Western Utd 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Adam le Fondre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sydney FC in this match.

Result

Melbourne Victory 35.29% (-0.01)
Draw 24.67% (-0.01)
Sydney FC 40.04% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.78% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 44.27% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.35% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.64% (-0.02)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 75.43% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.56% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.95% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.05% (-0.01)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 77.91% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.08% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.56% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.43% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 35.29%
Draw 24.67%
Sydney FC 40.04%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
Sydney FC
1-2 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.19%
1-3 @ 4.37% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.04%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 8, 2022 9.45am
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
  • Robert Mak 15' goal
  • James Donachie 79' goal
  • goal Nicholas D'Agostino 31'
  • goal Chris Ikonomidis 67'
  • goal Joshua Brillante 83'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
May 7, 2022 10.45am
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Adam le Fondre 16' goal
  • Paulo Retre 28' yellowcard
  • Patrick Yazbek 77' yellowcard
  • goal Nicholas D'Agostino 14'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 30'
  • goal Jason Geria 38'
  • yellowcard Rai Marchan 69'
  • goal Brendan Hamill 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Jan 25, 2022 8.45am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ben Folami 17' goal
  • Robbie Kruse 77' goal
  • Ivan Kelava 82' yellowcard
  • goal Milos Ninkovic 37'
  • goal Bobo 81'
  • yellowcard Bobo 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Mustafa Amini 90'+8'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
May 19, 2021 10.05am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bobo 10' goal
  • Luke Brattan 30' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Brimmer 45'
  • yellowcard Ben Folami 46'
  • yellowcard Jay Barnett 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2021 10.35am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
  • Bobo 6' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Folami 83'
  • yellowcard Jay Barnett 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Apr 4, 2021 10.05am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Elvis Kamsoba 14' yellowcard
  • Elvis Kamsoba 32' redcard
  • goal Bobo 42'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 50'
  • yellowcard Ryan McGowan 63'
  • goal Alexander Baumjohann 84'