Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
27.2% ( -0.06) | 25.13% ( -0.09) | 47.67% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 53.35% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.37% ( 0.31) | 49.63% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.35% ( 0.28) | 71.65% ( -0.28) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.4% ( 0.12) | 32.59% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.86% ( 0.13) | 69.13% ( -0.14) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% ( 0.19) | 20.84% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% ( 0.3) | 53.53% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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