Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT nib Stadium
  • Ryan Williams 37' goal
  • Adam Taggart 80' goal
  • Adam Taggart 87' goal
  • goal Joshua Brillante 69'

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 14, 2023 11.30am
Perth Glory 2 - 2 Sydney FC
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
David Williams

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 14, 2023 8.45am
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.

Result

Perth Glory 27.2% (-0.07)
Draw 25.13% (-0.09)
Melbourne Victory 47.67% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.35% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.37% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 49.63% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 28.35% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 71.65% (-0.29)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5 67.4% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 32.59% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 30.86% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 69.13% (-0.14)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 79.15% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 20.84% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 46.47% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 53.53% (-0.31)

Score analysis

Perth Glory 27.2%
Draw 25.13%
Melbourne Victory 47.66%
Perth Glory
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.27% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.25% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.13%
Melbourne Victory
0-1 @ 10.65% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.36% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.35% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.37% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.92% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.66%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Apr 6, 2022 12.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Callum Timmins 28' yellowcard
  • Giordano Colli 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Davidson 46'
  • goal Francesco Margiotta 57'
  • yellowcard Rai Marchan 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Dec 5, 2021 7.45am
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rai Marchan 45'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Kosuke Ota 15'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fornaroli 45'+6'
  • goal Antonee Burke-Gilroy 66'
  • goal Ciaran Bramwell 74'
  • yellowcard Pacifique Niyongabire 78'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 88'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
May 9, 2021 9.10am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Callum Timmins 24' yellowcard
  • Kosuke Ota 34' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 52' goal
  • Chris Ikonomidis 56' goal
  • redcard Nick Ansell 48'
  • yellowcard Robbie Kruse 75'
  • goal Rudy Gestede 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2021 8.05am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ryan Shotton 45' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 86' goal
  • Jake Brimmer 90' goal
  • yellowcard Carlo Armiento 32'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 63'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Aug 8, 2020 8.00am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Bruno Fornaroli 51' yellowcard
  • Tarek Elrich 59' yellowcard
  • Vince Lia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Rojas 26'
  • goal Marco Rojas 29'
  • yellowcard Birkan Kirdar 44'
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 60'
  • goal Marco Rojas 69'
  • goal Elvis Kamsoba 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 1, 2020 10.45am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tomislav Mrcela 21' yellowcard
  • Alex Grant 36' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 45' goal
  • Nicholas D'Agostino 90' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 92' yellowcard
  • goal Ola Toivonen 23'
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 59'