Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK

nib Stadium

Perth Glory
3 - 1
Victory

Williams (37'), Taggart (80', 87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brillante (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 14 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Victory
Saturday, January 14 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne Victory
27.2% ( -0.06)	25.13% ( -0.09)	47.67% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 53.35% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.37% (

0.31)

49.63% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.35% (

0.28)

71.65% (

-0.28)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.4% (

0.12)

32.59% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.86% (

0.13)

69.13% (

-0.14)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

0.19)

20.84% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.47% (

0.3)

53.53% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 27.2%

Melbourne Victory 47.66%

Draw 25.13%

Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.2%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.66%