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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 18, 2023 at 6am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Sydney FC
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Parsons (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mileusnic (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, February 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawBrisbane Roar
48.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)23.9% (0.029 0.03)27.18% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.39% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-0.154 -0.15)44.31% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-0.149 -0.15)66.68% (0.146 0.15)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)18.22% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.75% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)49.24% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.104 -0.1)29.82% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.126 -0.13)65.9% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 48.92%
    Brisbane Roar 27.18%
    Draw 23.89%
Sydney FCDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.92%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.18%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar

Sydney FC
71.0%
Draw
19.4%
Brisbane Roar
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 4am
May 10, 2022 10.05am
Brisbane Roar
3-1
Sydney FC
Parsons (36'), Lescano (40'), Ivanovic (67')
Chapman (23')
Burgess (30')
Buhagiar (56'), Wilkinson (86')
Jan 15, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Caceres (34')
King (54')
Mileusnic (40')
Steinmann (8')
Jun 5, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-2
Sydney FC

Daley (90+3')
Barbarouses (16'), Van Der Saag (90+5')
Warland (66'), Wood (82'), Retre (90+3')
Mar 6, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Sydney FC
Rogerio da Silva (71')
Barbarouses (9'), Ninkovic (25'), Grant (36')