Australian A-League
Gameweek
18
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-
Bruno Fornaroli
81'
-
Nestory Irankunda
87'
Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 21.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Melbourne Victory
56.79%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
21.48%
▼
(-0.17)
Adelaide United
21.72%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
59.49%
▲
(+0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.31%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 2.5
38.69%
▼
(-0.73)
Over 3.5
39%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 3.5
60.99%
▼
(-0.77)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
86.5%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 0.5
13.49%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
59.47%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 1.5
40.52%
▼
(-0.62)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5
68.77%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 0.5
31.23%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 1.5
32.42%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 1.5
67.57%
▼
(-0.43)
Score analysis
Melbourne Victory
56.8%
Draw
21.48%
Adelaide United
21.72%
Melbourne Victory
2-1
@
9.84%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 56.8%
2-0 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 56.8%
Draw
1-1
@
9.82%
▼
(-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.48%
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.48%
Adelaide United
1-2
@
5.72%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 21.72%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
12
-
Craig Goodwin
7'
-
Nicholas D'Agostino
49'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
6
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
37'
-
Craig Goodwin
86'
-
Benjamin Warland
90'+1'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
21
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
45'+3'
-
Juande
61'
-
Javi Lopez
66'
-
Marco Rojas
7'
-
Matthew Spiranovic
27'
-
Francesco Margiotta
49'
-
Ivan Kelava
90'+6'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
9
-
Nicholas D'Agostino
84'
-
Lleyton Brooks
90'+4'
-
George Timotheou
49'
-
Isaias Sanchez
79'
-
Juande
90'
-
Craig Goodwin
90'+1'
-
Isaias Sanchez
90'+2'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
4
-
Kusini Yengi
26'
-
Isaias Sanchez
31'
-
Ben Halloran
39'
-
Jacob Tratt
53'
-
Jacob Tratt
70'
-
Roderick Miranda
27'
-
Jason Davidson
29'
-
Francesco Margiotta
59'
-
Nishan Velupillay
78'
-
Jason Davidson
88'
-
Robbie Kruse
90'+5'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
26
-
Dylan Ryan
90'+3'
-
Craig Goodwin
39'
-
Juande
51'
-
Joshua Cavallo
58'
-
Ben Halloran
74'
-
Javi Lopez
90'
-
Craig Goodwin
90'+3'