Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 12, 2023 at 4am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Victory

Mikeltadze (37' pen.), Grozos (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Velupillay (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 4 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 3-1 Wellington
Friday, February 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne Victory
32.49% ( -0.25)	24.87% ( -0.37)	42.64% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.14% (

1.58)

45.86% (

-1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.83% (

1.49)

68.17% (

-1.48)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

0.61)

26.98% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.68% (

0.79)

62.33% (

-0.78)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

0.98)

21.53% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.41% (

1.48)

54.59% (

-1.47)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 32.49%

Melbourne Victory 42.64%

Draw 24.86%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.49%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.4) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.64%