Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
40.6% ( 0.22) | 25.24% ( -0.02) | 34.16% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% ( 0.07) | 47.1% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( 0.06) | 69.33% ( -0.06) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.96% ( 0.14) | 23.04% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.14% ( 0.2) | 56.86% ( -0.2) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% ( -0.09) | 26.56% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% ( -0.12) | 61.77% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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