Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 25, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney
4 - 0
Macarthur

Borrello (3'), Amalfitano (37'), Schneiderlin (56' pen.), Nieuwenhof (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 4-4 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 19 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 18 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Macarthur
49.32% ( 0.54)	23.06% ( -0.04)	27.62% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 60.7% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.9% (

-0.18)

40.1% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53% (

-0.18)

62.47% (

0.19)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.52% (

0.13)

16.48% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.81% (

0.24)

46.19% (

-0.23)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.68% (

-0.44)

27.32% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.23% (

-0.57)

62.77% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 49.32%

Macarthur 27.62%

Draw 23.05%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 49.32%	1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.62%