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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 18, 2023 at 7am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets

FT(HT: 0-1)
Buhagiar (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-1 Wellington
Sunday, February 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Victory
Sunday, February 12 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
38.98% (0.322 0.32)24.62% (0.13 0.13)36.4% (-0.452 -0.45)
Both teams to score 59.11% (-0.513 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1% (-0.647 -0.65)43.9% (0.648 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71% (-0.637 -0.64)66.29% (0.637 0.64)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.125 -0.13)22.44% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (-0.187 -0.19)55.98% (0.187 0.19)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (-0.536 -0.54)23.79% (0.537 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (-0.776 -0.78)57.95% (0.776 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 38.98%
    Newcastle Jets 36.4%
    Draw 24.61%
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.98%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.15 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.4%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
Newcastle Jets
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 4am
Macarthur
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Toure (43'), Davila (78')
Millar (34'), M'Mombwa (41'), Kurto (45'), Carter (88')

Timmins (32'), Al-Taay (60')
May 1, 2022 7.05am
Macarthur
0-3
Newcastle Jets

De Silva (3'), Noone (84')
Siatravanis (4'), Yuel (66'), Mikeltadze (73')
Thurgate (34')
Feb 26, 2022 6.05am
Newcastle Jets
2-2
Macarthur
Mikeltadze (32' pen.), Babalj (79')
Hoffman (25'), Ingham (47')
Uskok (21'), Oar (60')
Uskok (12'), Rose (26'), Oar (53'), Ruhs (90+4')
Dec 19, 2021 5.05am
Macarthur
2-1
Newcastle Jets
De Silva (48'), Meredith (84')
Noone (38'), M'Mombwa (45+2'), Uskok (51'), Najjar (78'), Rose (90+1')
Kurto (18')
Mikeltadze (35')
Mikeltadze (76')
Apr 18, 2021 9.10am
Macarthur
2-2
Newcastle Jets
M'Mombwa (36'), Puyo (45+2')
Rose (7')
O'Donovan (27' pen.), Ugarkovic (57')
Stamatelopoulos (51'), Krasniqi (83')