Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
38.98% ( 0.32) | 24.62% ( 0.13) | 36.4% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% ( -0.65) | 43.9% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.71% ( -0.64) | 66.29% ( 0.64) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% ( -0.13) | 22.44% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.02% ( -0.19) | 55.98% ( 0.19) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% ( -0.54) | 23.79% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% ( -0.78) | 57.95% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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