Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
41.8% ( -0.17) | 24.43% ( -0.12) | 33.77% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.53% ( 0.65) | 43.47% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.13% ( 0.64) | 65.87% ( -0.63) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( 0.2) | 20.91% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% ( 0.31) | 53.63% ( -0.3) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( 0.49) | 25.06% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% ( 0.67) | 59.74% ( -0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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