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Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 18, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Sydney FC
0 - 4
Western Sydney

FT(HT: 0-2)
Yengi (13'), Layouni (21', 75'), Nieuwenhof (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, March 12 at 2am in Australian A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney
Friday, March 10 at 11am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
41.8% (-0.169 -0.17)24.43% (-0.121 -0.12)33.77% (0.295 0.3)
Both teams to score 59.27% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (0.652 0.65)43.47% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.13% (0.64 0.64)65.87% (-0.63499999999999 -0.63)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.199 0.2)20.91% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (0.31 0.31)53.63% (-0.304 -0.3)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.486 0.49)25.06% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.667 0.67)59.74% (-0.661 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 41.8%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 33.77%
    Draw 24.42%
Sydney FCDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.77%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Western Sydney

Sydney FC
47.6%
Draw
9.5%
Western Sydney Wanderers
42.9%
21
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 8.45am
Western Sydney
0-1
Sydney FC

Rudan (65')
Ngbakoto (64')
Burgess (16')
Caballo (90+5'), Wood (90+5')
Nov 12, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC
0-1
Western Sydney
Yengi (70')
Nieuwenhof (31')
Apr 2, 2022 9.45am
Sydney FC
3-2
Western Sydney
Le Fondre (2'), Buhagiar (66', 71')
Grant (77'), Amini (90+6'), Retre (90+7')
Grant (89')
Hemed (17'), Russell (75')
Troisi (45+2'), Baccus (86'), Mrcela (90+7')
Mar 5, 2022 8.45am
Western Sydney
2-0
Sydney FC
Hemed (37' pen.), Baccus (52')
Carluccio (90+4')

Donachie (23'), Amini (90+5')
Nov 20, 2021 8.45am
Western Sydney
0-0
Sydney FC

Williams (50'), Traore (68')

Retre (75')