MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 12:35:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 4, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Sydney FC
1 - 0
Victory

Caceres (35')
Grant (40'), Donachie (45+2')
Burgess (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brillante (62'), Da Silva (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, February 26 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 2-1 Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory have been pushing themselves as of late, putting on some great performances to showcase that they are not going to finish the season without putting up a fight. However, Sydney FC have been one of the stronger teams in the division as of late and with the home advantage they should just edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
44.25% (-0.155 -0.16) 24.78% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 30.98% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (0.181 0.18)46.05% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (0.172 0.17)68.35% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.87% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)53.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.209 0.21)28.05% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.264 0.26)63.7% (-0.26 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 44.25%
    Melbourne Victory 30.98%
    Draw 24.78%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.98%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Victory

Sydney FC
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Melbourne Victory
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2023 7.45am
Victory
1-2
Sydney FC
Brimmer (26')
Miranda (48'), Folami (72')
Burgess (32'), Le Fondre (52')
Caballo (21'), Lolley (67')
Oct 8, 2022 9.45am
May 7, 2022 10.45am
Sydney FC
1-4
Victory
Le Fondre (16')
Retre (28'), Yazbek (77')
D'Agostino (14'), Brimmer (30'), Geria (38'), Hamill (87')
Marchan (69')
Jan 25, 2022 8.45am
Victory
2-2
Sydney FC
Folami (17'), Kruse (77')
Kelava (82')
Ninkovic (37'), Bobo (81')
Bobo (90+4'), Amini (90+8')
May 19, 2021 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-0
Victory
Bobo (10'), Barbarouses (83')
Brattan (30')

Brimmer (45'), Folami (46'), Barnett (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!