Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Mar 4, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Sydney FC
1 - 0
Victory

Caceres (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, February 26 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
44.25% ( -0.16)	24.78% ( -0.02)	30.98% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 56.93% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96% (

0.18)

46.05% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65% (

0.17)

68.35% (

-0.17)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.13% (

0.01)

20.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.42% (

0.01)

53.58% (

-0)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

0.21)

28.05% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

0.26)

63.7% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 44.25%

Melbourne Victory 30.98%

Draw 24.78%

Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.25%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.98%