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Scott Wootton
16'
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Luka Jovanovic
23'
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Lachlan Barr
51'
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Hiroshi Ibusuki
62'
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Craig Goodwin
71'
-
Alex Rufer
54'
Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Adelaide United Goals
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.33)
2-0 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 46.74%
2-2 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.11)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-94.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 30.19%
Head to Head
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Oskar Zawada
2'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
37'
-
Yan Sasse
61'
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Craig Goodwin
12'
-
Ben Waine
75'
-
Ben Halloran
90'+3'
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Gael Sandoval
20'
-
Oliver Sail
90'
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Michael Jakobsen
23'
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Bernardo Oliveira
90'+2'
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George Blackwood
7'
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Isaias Sanchez
48'
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Craig Goodwin
54'
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Ryan Kitto
58'
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Craig Goodwin
69'
-
Jacob Tratt
75'
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Javi Lopez
80'
-
Stefan Mauk
87'
-
Javi Lopez
90'+1'
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Ben Waine
29'
-
Clayton Lewis
46'
-
48'
-
Nicholas Pennington
73'
-
Juande
12'
-
Ryan Strain
68'
-
Ryan Strain
74'
-
Clayton Lewis
19'
-
Alex Rufer
10'
-
James McGarry
37'
-
Ben Waine
58'
-
David Ball
65'
-
Cameron Devlin
90'+6'
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Tomer Hemed
90'+7'
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Stefan Mauk
39'
-
Stefan Mauk
51'
-
Joe Gauci
90'+5'
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Alhassan Toure
90'+6'