Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Feb 24, 2023 8.45am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • James McGarry 12' goal
  • goal Oskar Zawada 90'+4'

Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 11.30am
Perth Glory 2 - 2 Central Coast
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jason Cummings

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 17, 2023 8.45am
Western Utd 0 - 3 Wellington
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Oskar Zawada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Central Coast Mariners 51.13% (-0.61)
Draw 22.89% (+0.15)
Wellington Phoenix 25.98% (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.34% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 40.65% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 36.96% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 63.04% (+0.26)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 83.97% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 16.03% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 54.62% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 45.38% (+0.56)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 71.19% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 28.8% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 35.34% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 64.66% (-0.27)

Score analysis

Central Coast Mariners 51.13%
Draw 22.88%
Wellington Phoenix 25.98%
Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.45% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 51.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.99% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.62% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.88%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2 @ 6.55% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.75% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.58% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.72% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 25.98%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 22, 2023 2.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Alex Rufer 32' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 40' goal
  • goal Beni N'Kololo 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Oct 16, 2022 3.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Ben Waine 57' goal
  • Paul Ayongo 89' goal
  • goal Samuel Silvera 59'
  • goal Jason Cummings 64'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 17, 2022 4.05am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Ball 34' yellowcard
  • James McGarry 54' yellowcard
  • goal Beni N'Kololo 25'
  • yellowcard Joshua Nisbet 32'
  • goal Jason Cummings 62'
  • goal Moresche 65'
  • yellowcard Beni N'Kololo 77'
  • goal Matthew Hatch 90'+6'
  • goal Matthew Hatch 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Apr 5, 2022 10.05am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marco Urena 8' goal
  • Beni N'Kololo 24' goal
  • Jason Cummings 55' goal
  • Garang Kuol 68' goal
  • Matthew Hatch 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Louis Fenton 89'
  • yellowcard Scott Wootton 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Nov 27, 2021 6.05am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gary Hooper 48' goal
  • Jaushua Sotirio 63' goal
  • goal Marco Urena 52'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Feb 14, 2021 5.05am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Ball 27' redcard
  • goal Matt Simon 40'
  • goal Oliver Bozanic 50'
  • yellowcard Lewis Miller 84'