Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 32.24% ( | 24.41% ( | 43.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( | 43.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( | 66.24% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( | 26.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( | 61.24% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( | 20.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% ( | 52.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.24% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0-1 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0-3 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 43.35% |