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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 16, 2023 at 8am UK
Coopers Stadium
Western United

Adelaide United
0 - 1
Western Utd

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pain (44')

The Match

Match Report

Melbourne City are crowned A-League Premiers for the third successive season as Adelaide United lose 1-0 to Western United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Sydney FC
Friday, April 7 at 8am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Central Coast
Friday, April 7 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern United
47.07% (-1.398 -1.4)22.36% (-0.126 -0.13)30.57% (1.521 1.52)
Both teams to score 65.44% (1.511 1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.22% (1.557 1.56)34.78% (-1.561 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.26% (1.725 1.73)56.74% (-1.728 -1.73)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (0.090000000000003 0.09)15.29% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (0.17 0.17)44.01% (-0.173 -0.17)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (1.701 1.7)22.74% (-1.704 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (2.46 2.46)56.42% (-2.463 -2.46)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 47.07%
    Western United 30.57%
    Draw 22.36%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.509 -0.51)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.457 -0.46)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.21% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.273 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.187 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.283 -0.28)
3-3 @ 2.08% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.176 0.18)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.255 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.249 0.25)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.154 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.57%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Western Utd

Adelaide United
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Western United
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 6am
Western Utd
2-3
Adelaide United
Botic (43'), Prijovic (48')
Prijovic (68')
Clough (68'), Kitto (76'), Goodwin (86' pen.)
Irankunda (56')
Nov 6, 2022 6am
Western Utd
2-4
Adelaide United
Milanovic (53'), Pierias (90+1')
Ibusuki (9'), Goodwin (22'), Lacroix (31' og.), Halloran (79')
D'Arrigo (45')
May 8, 2022 9.20am
Adelaide United
2-1
Western Utd
Lopez (14'), Kitto (51')
Popovic (20'), Gauci (77'), D'Arrigo (90+3')
Wenzel-Halls (5')
Prijovic (41'), Garuccio (90+2')
Dec 17, 2021 8.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Adelaide United
Pain (44')
Topor-Stanley (25'), Risdon (49'), Lacroix (53')

Juande (24'), Tratt (62'), Sanchez (65')
Apr 30, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
0-0
Western Utd

D'Arrigo (16'), Halloran (32'), Goodwin (41'), Elsey (83'), Toure (84'), Toure (90')
Toure (90+4')

Sanchez (15'), Durante (90')
Sanchez (36')