Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.