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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 1, 2023 at 9.45am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Western United

Sydney FC
3 - 3
Western Utd

Mak (22', 89'), Caballo (59')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Wales (14'), Pain (25'), Brattan (56' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 0-4 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWestern United
47.93% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)23.92% (0.123 0.12)28.15% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)43.74% (0.453 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87% (-0.444 -0.44)66.13% (0.446 0.45)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)18.39% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47% (-0.487 -0.49)49.53% (0.488 0.49)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.119 -0.12)28.82% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (-0.148 -0.15)64.68% (0.151 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 47.93%
    Western United 28.15%
    Draw 23.92%
Sydney FCDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 47.93%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 28.15%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Western Utd

Sydney FC
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Western United
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 6am
Oct 16, 2022 7am
Western Utd
1-3
Sydney FC
Risdon (16')
Le Fondre (39' pen.), Mak (41'), Lolley (69')
Grant (15')
Mar 19, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC
3-0
Western Utd
Ninkovic (23'), Narsingh (58'), Amini (68')
Amini (7')

Lacroix (28'), Krhin (47')
Feb 23, 2022 6.25am
Western Utd
1-0
Sydney FC
Lustica (67')
Theoharous (90+4')

Burgess (10'), Warland (74')
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am