Mar 13, 2023 7.00am

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT AAMI Park

Bruno Fornaroli 50'

Noah Botic 38'
Aleksandar Prijovic 69'

Melbourne Victory vs Western United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Victory vs. Western Utd - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Victory vs. Western Utd - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 11 Mar 2023 10:00

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

L
D
W
L
W
L

Australian A-League

L
D
W
L
W
L

Last game

Mar 4, 2023 8.45am

Sydney FC 1 - 0 Victory

Goals scored

29

Top scorer

Bruno Fornaroli

Western United

All competitions

W
W
L
L
L
D

Australian A-League

W
W
L
L
L
D

Last game

Mar 4, 2023 6.00am

Western Utd 2 - 1 Perth Glory

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Noah Botic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 48.32% ▲ (+0.56)

Draw 23.53% ▼ (-0.15)

Western United 28.14% ▼ (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score:

59.43% ▲ (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.03% ▲ (+0.41)

Under 2.5 41.96% ▼ (-0.41)

Over 3.5 35.63% ▲ (+0.41)

Under 3.5 64.37% ▼ (-0.41)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 82.44% ▲ (+0.37)

Under 0.5 17.56% ▼ (-0.38)

Over 1.5 51.9% ▲ (+0.65)

Under 1.5 48.1% ▼ (-0.65)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 72.08% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 0.5 27.91% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 1.5 36.46% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 1.5 63.53% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 48.32%

Draw 23.52%

Western United 28.14%

Melbourne Victory

2-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.04)

1-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.06)

2-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.05)

3-1 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.09)

3-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.08)

3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.05)

4-1 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.07)

4-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.06)

4-2 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 3.84%

Total : 48.32%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.87% ▼ (-0.10)

2-2 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.09)

3-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.23%

Total : 23.52%

Western United

1-2 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.08)

0-1 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.13)

0-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.10)

1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.04)

2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 3.74%

Total : 28.14%

Head to Head

Dec 26, 2022 7.00am

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Whitten Oval

Josh Risdon 45'+1'

May 21, 2022 8.15am

1

4

HT : 1 1

FT AAMI Park

Jake Brimmer 37'

Aleksandar Prijovic 18'
Aleksandar Prijovic 49'
Josh Risdon 66'
Lachlan Wales 78'
Neil Kilkenny 81'
Dylan Wenzel-Halls 90'+9'

May 17, 2022 10.05am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT AAMI Park

Josh Risdon 56'
Connor Pain 69'

Jake Brimmer 50'
Jake Brimmer 74'
Chris Ikonomidis 77'
Tony Popovic 89'

Mar 23, 2022 8.05am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Rai Marchan 78'
Brendan Hamill 85'
Roderick Miranda 90'+2'

Josh Risdon 13'
Tomoki Imai 40'
Nikolai Topor-Stanley 47'
Lachlan Wales 90'+4'

Dec 26, 2021 8.45am

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Jason Geria 18'
Joshua Brillante 19'
Jason Davidson 37'
Nicholas D'Agostino 90'+4'

Aleksandar Prijovic 87'

Nov 20, 2021 8.45am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Steven Lustica 63'
Alessandro Diamanti 90'+1'

Jason Geria 40'
Roderick Miranda 75'

Form Data

Sydney FC 1 - 0 Victory

Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United

Victory 3 - 2 Melbourne City

Newcastle Jets 2 - 1 Victory

Victory 3 - 1 Wellington

Victory 1 - 2 Sydney FC

Western Utd 2 - 1 Perth Glory

Newcastle Jets 1 - 3 Western Utd

Western Utd 0 - 3 Wellington

Western Utd 2 - 3 Adelaide United

Western Sydney 1 - 0 Western Utd

Macarthur 2 - 2 Western Utd