Adelaide United
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Melbourne Victory
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Sydney FC
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Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 13, 2023 at 7am UK
AAMI Park
Western United

Victory
1 - 2
Western Utd

Fornaroli (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Botic (38'), Prijovic (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-0 Victory
Saturday, March 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
48.32% (0.554 0.55)23.53% (-0.147 -0.15)28.14% (-0.412 -0.41)
Both teams to score 59.43% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.03% (0.402 0.4)41.96% (-0.406 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.402 0.4)64.37% (-0.407 -0.41)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.36800000000001 0.37)17.56% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.9% (0.641 0.64)48.1% (-0.645 -0.65)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)27.91% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (-0.103 -0.1)63.53% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 48.32%
    Western United 28.14%
    Draw 23.52%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.14%

How you voted: Victory vs Western Utd

Melbourne Victory
47.8%
Draw
17.4%
Western United
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 7am
Western Utd
1-0
Victory
Risdon (45+1')
Doumbia (15')
May 21, 2022 8.15am
Victory
1-4
Western Utd
Brimmer (37')
Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')
May 17, 2022 10.05am
Western Utd
0-1
Victory

Risdon (56'), Pain (69')
Brimmer (74')
Brimmer (50'), Ikonomidis (77'), Popovic (89')
Mar 23, 2022 8.05am
Victory
1-1
Western Utd
Hamill (85')
Marchan (78'), Miranda (90+2')
Topor-Stanley (47')
Risdon (13'), Imai (40'), Wales (90+4')
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
Victory
3-1
Western Utd
Geria (18'), Brillante (19'), D'Agostino (90+4')
Davidson (37')
Prijovic (87')