Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 25, 2023 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 3
Western Utd

Mikeltadze (33' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Botic (3', 29'), Doumbia (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 18 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Wellington
Friday, February 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western United
45.26% ( -0.13)	23.46% ( -0.08)	31.28% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 61.73% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.19% (

0.45)

39.81% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.83% (

0.46)

62.16% (

-0.47)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08% (

0.12)

17.92% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.27% (

0.21)

48.72% (

-0.22)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

0.34)

24.78% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

0.48)

59.36% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 45.26%

Western United 31.28%

Draw 23.46%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.26%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.28%