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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 4, 2023 at 6am UK
Whitten Oval
Perth Glory

Western Utd
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Doumbia (42'), Botic (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Elsey (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Western Utd
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, February 26 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawPerth Glory
43.99% (-0.247 -0.25)25.75% (0.078999999999997 0.08)30.26% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (-0.25 -0.25)50.51% (0.255 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (-0.221 -0.22)72.44% (0.226 0.23)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)22.88% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.332 -0.33)56.63% (0.338 0.34)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)30.78% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)67.05% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Western United 43.98%
    Perth Glory 30.27%
    Draw 25.74%
Western UnitedDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.27%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Perth Glory

Western United
22.2%
Draw
55.6%
Perth Glory
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 11.30am
Perth Glory
2-1
Western Utd
Williams (14'), Clisby (52')
Kilkenny (83')
Risdon (20')
Apr 16, 2022 8.05am
Western Utd
6-0
Perth Glory
Wales (25', 27', 45+3'), Pierias (34'), Prijovic (52' pen.), Wenzel-Halls (83')

Colli (32')
Feb 27, 2022 7.45am
Perth Glory
0-2
Western Utd
Prijovic (37'), Pierias (56')
Risdon (54'), Skotadis (86')
Nov 26, 2021 8.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Perth Glory
Wenzel-Halls (78')
Diamanti (86')

Calver (3'), Ota (30'), Clisby (41'), Burke-Gilroy (70')
May 12, 2021 12.20pm
Perth Glory
3-0
Western Utd
Fornaroli (10'), Ikonomidis (22'), Chianese (77')
Fornaroli (30'), Stynes (43'), Reddy (81'), Keogh (81')

Durante (66'), Berisha (80')