Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 26, 2023 at 6am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Aldred (28'), Hore (45')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Clisby (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Central Coast
Saturday, February 18 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brisbane Roar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brisbane Roar.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Perth Glory
46.96% ( -0.01)	26.43% ( 0.13)	26.61% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 48.97% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87% (

-0.55)

55.13% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

-0.45)

76.38% (

0.45)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

-0.24)

23.47% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52% (

-0.35)

57.48% (

0.35)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99% (

-0.39)

36.01% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21% (

-0.4)

72.79% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 46.96%

Perth Glory 26.61%

Draw 26.43%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Perth Glory
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.96%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.61%