Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Apr 7, 2023 6.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Whitten Oval
  • goal Jason Cummings 21'
  • goal Beni N'Kololo 35'
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 90'+1'

Western United vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 9.45am
Sydney FC 3 - 3 Western Utd
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Noah Botic

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 7.00am
Central Coast 4 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jason Cummings

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result

Western United 34.35% (+1.24)
Draw 23.03% (+0.18)
Central Coast Mariners 42.62% (-1.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.63% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.46% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 36.53% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 41.32% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 58.68% (+0.52)
Over 4.5 23.21% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 76.79% (+0.43)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 78.51% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 21.49% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 45.46% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 54.53% (-0.68)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 82.33% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 17.67% (+0.76)
Over 1.5 51.7% (-1.33)
Under 1.5 48.3% (+1.32)

Score analysis

Western United 34.35%
Draw 23.03%
Central Coast Mariners 42.62%
Western United
2-1 @ 7.78% (+0.20)
1-0 @ 5.84% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 4.49% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 3.99% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.46% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.3% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.53% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.33% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 34.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.8% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.03%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.12)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 3.9% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.18)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.15)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 42.62%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Oct 29, 2022 7.15am
4
2
HT : 0 2
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Jason Cummings 67' goal
  • Beni N'Kololo 74' goal
  • Jacob Farrell 78' goal
  • Paul Ayongo 88' goal
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 17'
  • goal Connor Pain 28'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 30, 2022 7.05am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Garang Kuol 81' goal
  • yellowcard Tomoki Imai 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Apr 2, 2022 4.05am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tomoki Imai 15' yellowcard
  • Noah Smith 46' goal
  • Aleksandar Prijovic 63' goal
  • Leo Lacroix 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jason Cummings 36'
  • goal Jason Cummings 64'
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Jun 5, 2021 8.05am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kye Rowles 13' yellowcard
  • Jack Clisby 25' goal
  • Gianni Stensness 55' yellowcard
  • Marco Urena 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Dalibor Markovic 53'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Apr 17, 2021 8.05am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Connor Pain 5' goal
  • Brendan Hamill 47' yellowcard
  • Tomoki Imai 86' yellowcard
  • Luke Duzel 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruan Tongyik 30'
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 58'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Feb 7, 2021 7.10am
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Matt Simon 17' goal
  • Ruan Tongyik 45' yellowcard
  • Alou Kuol 77' goal
  • Alou Kuol 81' goal
  • Mark Birighitti 90' yellowcard
  • goal Tomislav Uskok 4'
  • yellowcard Steven Lustica 26'
  • goal Besart Berisha 42'
  • yellowcard Victor Sanchez 53'
  • yellowcard Max Burgess 67'