Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Mar 19, 2023 6.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Bruno Fornaroli 16' goal
  • Fernando Romero 56' goal

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 13, 2023 7.00am
Victory 1 - 2 Western Utd
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 6.00am
Central Coast 4 - 1 Macarthur
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jason Cummings

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result

Melbourne Victory 44.28% (+0.29)
Draw 24.26% (+0.19)
Central Coast Mariners 31.45% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.95% (-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.5% (-1.06)
Under 2.5 43.5% (+1.06)
Over 3.5 34.1% (-1.05)
Under 3.5 65.89% (+1.05)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 80.19% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 19.81% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 48.12% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 51.88% (+0.51)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 73.51% (-0.81)
Under 0.5 26.48% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 38.33% (-1.09)
Under 1.5 61.67% (+1.09)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 44.28%
Draw 24.26%
Central Coast Mariners 31.45%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.14% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.49% (+0.31)
2-0 @ 6.88% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.25% (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.26%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.45%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Dec 31, 2022 8.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Jason Cummings 11' goal
  • Jason Cummings 53' goal
  • goal Cadete 39'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2022 6.05am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lewis Miller 28' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Muller 84' goal
  • goal Nicholas D'Agostino 38'
  • yellowcard Ivan Kelava 45'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Feb 19, 2022 8.45am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leigh Broxham 73' yellowcard
  • Jason Davidson 89' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Farrell 52'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
May 2, 2021 7.05am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Callum McManaman 62' goal
  • Storm Roux 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Simon 4'
  • yellowcard Daniel De Silva 61'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Mar 27, 2021 8.10am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Gianni Stensness 29' yellowcard
  • Marco Urena 30' goal
  • Jack Clisby 48' yellowcard
  • goal Callum McManaman 20'
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 49'
  • yellowcard Ryan Shotton 64'
  • yellowcard Nick Ansell 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Aug 3, 2020 10.30am
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marco Rojas 22' goal
  • Marco Rojas 65' goal
  • Jay Barnett 72' yellowcard
  • Kenny Athiu 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Silvera 39'
  • goal Dylan Fox 48'
  • yellowcard Tommy Oar 51'
  • yellowcard Matt Simon 80'
  • goal Dylan Ruiz Diaz 85'
  • goal Dylan Ruiz Diaz 89'