Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Mar 19, 2023 at 6am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
2 - 0
Central Coast

Fornaroli (16'), Romero (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-2 Western Utd
Monday, March 13 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-1 Macarthur
Saturday, March 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
44.28% ( 0.28)	24.26% ( 0.19)	31.45% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 58.95% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.5% (

-1.05)

43.5% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.1% (

-1.04)

65.89% (

1.04)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.19% (

-0.31)

19.81% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.12% (

-0.5)

51.88% (

0.5)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

-0.8)

26.48% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33% (

-1.08)

61.67% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 44.28%

Central Coast Mariners 31.45%

Draw 24.26%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.28%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.45%