Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Macarthur

Central Coast
4 - 1
Macarthur

McGarry (30'), Cummings (47', 63' pen.), Tulio (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Silva (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 5 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMacarthur
57.95% (0.216 0.22)21.26% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)20.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (0.143 0.14)38.88% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8% (0.148 0.15)61.19% (-0.147 -0.15)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (0.111 0.11)13.21% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.05% (0.223 0.22)39.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)32.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)68.68% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 57.95%
    Macarthur 20.79%
    Draw 21.26%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Macarthur

Central Coast Mariners
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Macarthur
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 8.45am
Macarthur
1-2
Central Coast
Millar (57')
Hollman (68'), Arabuli (89')
Tulio (4'), Cummings (26')
Roux (53'), Tulio (62'), Ruhs (79'), Vukovic (87'), Triantis (89')
Nov 13, 2022 4am
Central Coast
2-3
Macarthur
Kuol (65' pen., 72')
Toure (14'), Aspropotamitis (48'), Drew (90+5')
Aspropotamitis (29')
Mar 19, 2022 6.05am
Central Coast
4-2
Macarthur
Urena (27', 82'), Hatch (48'), Smith (57')
Roux (64')
Mariappa (45+1'), Rose (88')
M'Mombwa (5'), Mutch (32'), Noone (90')
Feb 10, 2022 8.45am
Central Coast
3-3
Macarthur
Susnjar (40' og.), Bozanic (76' pen.), Moresche (86' pen.)
Farrell (33'), Nisbet (43')
Oar (25'), Mariappa (34'), Noone (90')
Susnjar (65'), Ruhs (68'), Najjar (74'), Mariappa (75'), McGing (90+2')
Dec 5, 2021 5.05am
Macarthur
1-0
Central Coast
Bozanic (45' og.)
Uskok (48')

Tongyik (15'), Roux (31'), Steele (61'), Farrell (83')
rhs 2.0


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