Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 5, 2023 4.00am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
  • Bachana Arabuli 14' goal
  • Matthew Millar 67' goal
  • Jake McGing 90'+5' goal
  • goal Jay O'Shea 78'
  • goal Jez Lofthouse 80'

Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 8.45am
Western Sydney 4 - 0 Macarthur
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Matthew Millar

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 6.00am
Brisbane Roar 2 - 1 Perth Glory
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jay O'Shea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Macarthur 32.96% (+0.37)
Draw 24.83% (+0.13)
Brisbane Roar 42.21% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.61% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.46% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 45.54% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 32.14% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 67.86% (+0.45)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5 73.46% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.54% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.26% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.74% (+0.01)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 78.41% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 21.59% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 45.32% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 54.68% (+0.65)

Score analysis

Macarthur 32.96%
Draw 24.83%
Brisbane Roar 42.22%
Macarthur
2-1 @ 7.73% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.6% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 5.04% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.73% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 8.78% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.73% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.22%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 8, 2022 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 15, 2022 10.45am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ulises Davila 44' goal
  • Jake McGing 89' goal
  • goal Scott Neville 78'
  • yellowcard Jay O'Shea 83'
  • yellowcard Tom Aldred 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Feb 13, 2022 7.45am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikola Mileusnic 2' goal
  • Rahmat Akbari 13' yellowcard
  • Corey Brown 60' goal
  • Henry Hore 78' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Jovanovic 40'
  • goal Adrian Mariappa 74'
  • yellowcard James Meredith 86'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Susnjar 88'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Apr 9, 2021 10.05am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lachlan Rose 89' goal
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 12'
  • goal Riku Danzaki 58'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Feb 9, 2021 8.35am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jay O'Shea 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Golec 55'
  • goal Denis Genreau 76'
  • yellowcard Jake Hollman 81'
  • goal Matt Derbyshire 90'