Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.