Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 9, 2023 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Perth Glory

Victory
0 - 0
Perth Glory

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Victory
Wednesday, April 5 at 10am in Australian A-League

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Macarthur
Saturday, April 1 at 12pm in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
46.92% (0.187 0.19)24.95% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)28.13% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.64% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.212 0.21)48.26% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.193 0.19)70.41% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.16800000000001 0.17)20.61% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (0.265 0.27)53.16% (-0.265 -0.27)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (0.019999999999996 0.02)31.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (0.025000000000006 0.03)67.5% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 46.92%
    Perth Glory 28.13%
    Draw 24.94%
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.13%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
Perth Glory
3-1
Victory
Williams (37'), Taggart (80', 87')
Lachman (34'), Jelacic (45+1'), Cook (87')
Clisby (51')
Brillante (69')
Smith (45+3'), Smith (48')
Ikonomidis (53')
Apr 6, 2022 12.05pm
Perth Glory
0-1
Victory

Timmins (28'), Colli (70')
Margiotta (57')
Davidson (46'), Marchan (90')
Dec 5, 2021 7.45am
Victory
0-3
Perth Glory

Marchan (45+3')
Burke-Gilroy (66'), Bramwell (74'), Fornaroli (88')
Ota (15'), Fornaroli (45+6'), Niyongabire (78')
May 9, 2021 9.10am
Perth Glory
2-1
Victory
Fornaroli (52'), Ikonomidis (56')
Timmins (24'), Ota (34')
Gestede (79')
Kruse (75')
Ansell (48')
Jan 26, 2021 8.05am
Victory
2-1
Perth Glory
Brimmer (86', 90' pen.)
Shotton (45')
Fornaroli (63')
Armiento (32')