Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Apr 5, 2023 10.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Aiden O'Neill 11' goal
  • Aiden O'Neill 57' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 89'

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 6.00am
Melbourne City 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Jamie MacLaren

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00am
Wellington 1 - 2 Victory
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Melbourne City.

Result

Melbourne City 63.34% (+2.01)
Draw 20.24% (-0.51)
Melbourne Victory 16.42% (-1.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.99% (-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.66% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 41.34% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 36.27% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 63.73% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 19.22% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 80.78% (+0.29)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 87.58% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 12.42% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 61.67% (+0.96)
Under 1.5 38.33% (-0.96)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 61.65% (-1.98)
Under 0.5 38.35% (+1.98)
Over 1.5 24.89% (-1.95)
Under 1.5 75.11% (+1.95)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 63.34%
Draw 20.25%
Melbourne Victory 16.42%
Melbourne City
2-0 @ 10.36% (+0.53)
1-0 @ 9.94% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.21% (+0.49)
3-1 @ 6.91% (+0.11)
4-0 @ 3.76% (+0.32)
4-1 @ 3.6% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.57% (+0.16)
5-1 @ 1.5% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 63.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 4.76% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.28)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.25%
Melbourne Victory
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.18)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.35)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.18)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.20)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 16.42%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 18, 2023 8.45am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Damien Da Silva 7' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 46' goal
  • Joshua Brillante 77' goal
  • goal Mathew Leckie 24'
  • goal Mathew Leckie 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2022 9.45am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT AAMI Park
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 17'
  • goal Cadete 19' (OG)
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Apr 9, 2022 10.45am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Jake Brimmer 7' goal
  • Marco Rojas 14' goal
  • Rai Marchan 23' yellowcard
  • Marco Rojas 27' goal
  • yellowcard Curtis Good 13'
  • yellowcard Taras Gomulka 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Mar 19, 2022 8.45am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marco Tilio 42' yellowcard
  • Curtis Good 45' goal
  • Nuno Reis 63' yellowcard
  • Carl Jenkinson 72' yellowcard
  • Stefan Colakovski 90' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Rojas 19'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 29'
  • yellowcard Nicholas D'Agostino 83'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Dec 18, 2021 8.45am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Connor Metcalfe 36' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 60' goal
  • Andrew Nabbout 63' goal
  • Aiden O'Neill 84' yellowcard
  • Florin Berenguer 86' yellowcard
  • Scott Jamieson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Francesco Margiotta 12'
  • goal Nicholas D'Agostino 81'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Jun 6, 2021 7.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Storm Roux 49' yellowcard
  • Adama Traore 50' yellowcard
  • Lleyton Brooks 90'+5' goal
  • goal Nick Ansell 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard Aiden O'Neill 72'

Build-up

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