Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Melbourne City
Mar 12, 2023 4.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
Brisbane Roar
  • Aiden O'Neill 22' goal
  • Aiden O'Neill 88' goal
  • goal Jay O'Shea 80'

Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 3, 2023 8.45am
Adelaide United 4 - 2 Melbourne City
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Jamie MacLaren

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 5, 2023 4.00am
Macarthur 3 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jay O'Shea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Melbourne City 66.12% ▼ (-0.39)
Draw 18.89% ▲ (+0.24)
Brisbane Roar 15% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.39% ▼ (-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.15% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 2.5 37.85% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 3.5 39.9% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 3.5 60.1% ▲ (+0.84)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 89.34% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 10.66% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 65.48% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 1.5 34.52% ▲ (+0.71)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 62% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 38% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 25.24% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 74.76% ▲ (+0.29)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 66.11%
Draw 18.89%
Brisbane Roar 15%
Melbourne City
2-0 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 66.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.89%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Brisbane Roar
Jan 21, 2023 8.45am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
Melbourne City
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Brisbane Roar
Oct 14, 2022 9.45am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Suncorp Stadium
Melbourne City
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 22'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 38'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Brisbane Roar
Mar 23, 2022 8.35am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Melbourne City
  • Henry Hore 9' goal
  • Tom Aldred 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Trewin 14' (OG)
  • goal Raphael Borges Rodrigues 49'
  • yellowcard Florin Berenguer 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Hall 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Melbourne City
Nov 19, 2021 8.45am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Brisbane Roar
  • Curtis Good 40' goal
  • Connor Metcalfe 43' goal
  • Connor Metcalfe 89' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Ivanovic 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Brisbane Roar
May 25, 2021 10.05am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Melbourne City
  • Jay O'Shea 6' goal
  • Rahmat Akbari 34' yellowcard
  • Dylan Wenzel-Halls 36' yellowcard
  • Alex Parsons 38' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 52' goal
  • yellowcard Alec Mills 51'
  • yellowcard Nuno Reis 61'
  • yellowcard Florin Berenguer 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Melbourne City
May 9, 2021 7.05am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
Brisbane Roar
  • Connor Metcalfe 14' goal
  • Kai Trewin 17' goal
  • Nuno Reis 46' yellowcard
  • Scott Galloway 49' yellowcard
  • Scott Galloway 73' goal
  • Andrew Nabbout 86' yellowcard
  • Aiden O'Neill 87' yellowcard
  • goal Joseph Champness 28'
  • yellowcard Jesse Daley 32'
  • goal Macaulay Gillesphey 38'

Form Data

Adelaide United 4 - 2 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 3 - 2 Sydney FC
Victory 3 - 2 Melbourne City
Perth Glory 2 - 4 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 6 - 1 Macarthur
Melbourne City 3 - 3 Adelaide United
Macarthur 3 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar 2 - 1 Perth Glory
Sydney FC 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast
Adelaide United 2 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Newcastle Jets 4 - 0 Brisbane Roar