Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 2, 2023 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Newcastle Jets

Melbourne City
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Caputo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mikeltadze (31' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, March 19 at 8am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 12.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawNewcastle Jets
71.28% (0.087000000000003 0.09)16.53% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)12.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.09% (0.11300000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.89% (0.191 0.19)33.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.14% (0.219 0.22)54.85% (-0.22 -0.22)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.8% (0.063999999999993 0.06)8.2% (-0.066099999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.29% (0.164 0.16)28.71% (-0.167 -0.17)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (0.079999999999998 0.08)38.9% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37% (0.073999999999998 0.07)75.63% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 71.28%
    Newcastle Jets 12.19%
    Draw 16.53%
Melbourne CityDrawNewcastle Jets
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.2% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.91% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.6% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.46% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.16% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 71.28%
1-1 @ 7.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.53%
1-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 12.19%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets

Melbourne City
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Newcastle Jets
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 6am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Melbourne City
Jamieson (38' og.)
O'Neill (13')
Van der Venne (20'), MacLaren (57')
Feb 18, 2022 8.45am
Melbourne City
3-0
Newcastle Jets
MacLaren (45+2'), Leckie (52'), Jenkinson (64')
Nabbout (23'), Metcalfe (73')

Hoffman (23'), Regan (42')
Regan (54')
Feb 8, 2022 9.05am
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Melbourne City
Mikeltadze (59' pen.), Thurgate (84')
O'Doherty (39'), Siatravanis (89')
Berenguer (40'), MacLaren (52', 66'), Leckie (56')
MacLaren (21'), Nabbout (42'), Glover (77'), O'Neill (90+4')
Jun 10, 2021 10.05am
Melbourne City
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Colakovski (9')
O'Neill (37'), Mills (88')
Goodwin (23'), Stamatelopoulos (89')
O'Doherty (13')
Apr 29, 2021 10.05am
Melbourne City
3-1
Newcastle Jets
Koutroumbis (32' og.), Jamieson (59'), MacLaren (69')
Ugarkovic (87')