Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 12, 2025 at 12.45pm UK

nib Stadium

Perth Glory
4 - 1
Adelaide United

Taggart (11'), Ostler (19'), Pearman (73', 80')
Pennington (64'), Sail (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Folami (24')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 3-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, April 5 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, April 5 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.64%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 22.81% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Adelaide United
22.81% ( 0.15)	19.55% ( 0.1)	57.64% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 68.46% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.22% (

-0.3)

27.77% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.54% (

-0.38)

48.46% (

0.38)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

-0.07)

24.1% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

-0.09)

58.39% (

0.09)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.2% (

-0.15)

9.8% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.44% (

-0.36)

32.56% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 22.81%

Adelaide United 57.64%

Draw 19.55%

Perth Glory	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 22.81%	1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.55%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.98% Total : 57.64%