Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Mar 1, 2025 at 4am UK

Mount Smart Stadium

Auckland FC
4 - 4
Adelaide United

May (10', 10', 14', 14'), Rogerson (52', 52'), Sakai (90+2', 90+2')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Elsey (30', 30'), Clough (61' pen., 61' pen., 79' pen., 79' pen.), Vriends (90+8', 90+8')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Auckland FC 6-1 Wellington
Saturday, February 22 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 3-0 Adelaide United
Sunday, February 23 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Auckland FC win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Adelaide United has a probability of 34.88% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Adelaide United win is 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.62%).

Result
Auckland FC	Draw	Adelaide United
42.57% ( -1.61)	22.56% ( 0.25)	34.88% ( 1.37)

Both teams to score 66.61% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.99% (

-0.83)

34.01% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.12% (

-0.95)

55.88% (

0.95)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33% (

-0.95)

16.67% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.47% (

-1.72)

46.53% (

1.73)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

0.3)

20.06% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.71% (

0.48)

52.29% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Auckland FC 42.57%

Adelaide United 34.88%

Draw 22.56%

Auckland FC	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.51% Total : 42.57%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.88%