Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

Feb 1, 2025 at 6am UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney FC
4 - 1
Adelaide United

Lolley (36', 36'), Klimala (46', 46'), Segecic (75', 75'), Caceres (83', 83')
De Jesus (18'), De Jesus (18'), Grant (56'), Grant (56'), Courtney-Perkins (61'), Courtney-Perkins (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pierias (49', 49')
Barnett (57'), Barnett (57')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Sydney FC
Friday, January 24 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland FC
Wednesday, January 22 at 8.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Adelaide United
50.35% ( -0.44)	20.46% ( 0.18)	29.19% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 71.82% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.85% (

-0.73)

26.15% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.59% (

-0.94)

46.4% (

0.93)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86% (

-0.38)

11.13% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.42% (

-0.82)

35.57% (

0.81)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

-0.25)

19.18% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14% (

-0.4)

50.86% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 50.35%

Adelaide United 29.19%

Draw 20.46%

Sydney FC	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.35%	1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.46%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.19%