Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Jan 24, 2025 at 8.35am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Victory
2 - 0
Sydney FC

Vergos (24'), Fornaroli (90')
Miranda (29'), Fornaroli (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Klimala (23'), Ouahim (63')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-2 Victory
Saturday, January 18 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 3-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.01%) and 0-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Sydney FC
36% ( 0.15)	22.7% ( 0)	41.29% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 66.3% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.47% (

0.01)

34.52% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.54% (

0.02)

56.46% (

-0.02)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26% (

0.08)

19.74% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.23% (

0.13)

51.77% (

-0.13)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61% (

-0.06)

17.39% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.19% (

-0.1)

47.81% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 36%

Sydney FC 41.29%

Draw 22.7%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 36%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.29%