Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 1, 2025 at 4am UK

Mount Smart Stadium

Auckland FC
0 - 0
Victory

Verstraete (66')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-4 Auckland FC
Saturday, December 28 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 3-0 Victory
Saturday, December 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
23.29% ( 0.02)	23.01% ( 0.19)	53.7% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 56.33% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.15% (

-0.85)

43.85% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.76% (

-0.84)

66.24% (

0.84)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.28% (

-0.45)

32.71% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.73% (

-0.51)

69.27% (

0.51)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

-0.38)

16.28% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.16% (

-0.69)

45.84% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Auckland FC 23.29%

Melbourne Victory 53.7%

Draw 23.01%

Auckland FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.29%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.7%