Australian A-League
Gameweek
11
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Louis Verstraete
66'
Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result
Auckland FC
23.29%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
23.01%
▲
(+0.20)
Melbourne Victory
53.7%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
56.33%
▼
(-0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.15%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 2.5
43.85%
▲
(+0.85)
Over 3.5
33.76%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 3.5
66.24%
▲
(+0.84)
Over 4.5
17.35%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 4.5
82.65%
▲
(+0.62)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5
67.28%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 0.5
32.71%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 1.5
30.73%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
69.27%
▲
(+0.52)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
83.72%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
16.28%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
54.16%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 1.5
45.84%
▲
(+0.69)
Score analysis
Auckland FC
23.29%
Draw
23.01%
Melbourne Victory
53.7%
Auckland FC
2-1
@
6.04%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 23.29%
1-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 23.29%
Draw
1-1
@
10.8%
▲
(+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.01%
2-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.01%
Melbourne Victory
1-2
@
9.8%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 53.7%
0-1 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 53.7%