Nov 9, 2024 6.00am

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT AAMI Park

Nishan Velupillay 38'
Nishan Velupillay 38'
Jason Geria 76'
Jason Geria 76'

Waleed Shour 28'
Waleed Shour 28'
Harry Van Der Saag 85'
Harry Van Der Saag 85'

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

W
W
D
W
W
L

Australian A-League

W
W
D
L
W
D

Last game

Nov 3, 2024 5.00am

Victory 2 - 1 Macarthur

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Nishan Velupillay

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

L
L
L
L
D
L

Australian A-League

L
L
L
D
L
W

Last game

Nov 1, 2024 8.35am

Brisbane Roar 2 - 3 Sydney FC

Goals scored

32

Top scorer

Thomas Waddingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result

Melbourne Victory 44.27% ▲ (+0.74)

Draw 24.3% ▼ (-0.03)

Brisbane Roar 31.43% ▼ (-0.71)

Both Teams to Score:

58.83% ▼ (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.34% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 2.5 43.66% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 3.5 33.95% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 3.5 66.05% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 4.5 17.49% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 4.5 82.51% ▲ (+0.14)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 80.12% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 0.5 19.88% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 1.5 48.01% ▲ (+0.40)

Under 1.5 51.99% ▼ (-0.40)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 73.43% ▼ (-0.53)

Under 0.5 26.58% ▲ (+0.54)

Over 1.5 38.21% ▼ (-0.71)

Under 1.5 61.79% ▲ (+0.71)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 44.27%

Draw 24.29%

Brisbane Roar 31.43%

Melbourne Victory

2-1 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.08)

1-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.14)

2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.16)

3-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.08)

3-0 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.12)

3-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.05)

4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.06)

4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.01%

Total : 44.27%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.3%

2-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.05)

0-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.05)

3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.21%

Total : 24.29%

Brisbane Roar

1-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.12)

0-1 @ 7% ▼ (-0.06)

0-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.11)

1-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.11)

2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.07)

0-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.08)

1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 3.17%

Total : 31.43%

Head to Head

Apr 20, 2024 8.30am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Jason Geria 51'
Jason Geria 51'
Chris Ikonomidis 82'
Chris Ikonomidis 82'

Mar 3, 2024 6.00am

3

2

HT : 2 2

FT Suncorp Stadium

Marco Rojas 23'
Marco Rojas 23'
Henry Hore 39'
Henry Hore 39'
Marco Rojas 56'
Marco Rojas 56'
Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62'
Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62'
Thomas Waddingham 70'
Thomas Waddingham 70'
Keegan Jelacic 90'
Keegan Jelacic 90'

Jason Geria 15'
Jason Geria 15'
Zinedine Machach 35'
Zinedine Machach 35'
Roly Bonevacia 86'
Roly Bonevacia 86'

Apr 29, 2023 10.45am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT AAMI Park

Jordan Courtney-Perkins 54'

Jan 6, 2023 8.45am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT AAMI Park

Jay O'Shea 73'

Oct 29, 2022 5.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Suncorp Stadium

Apr 25, 2022 5.05am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Alex Parsons 44'
Rahmat Akbari 47'
Alex Parsons 54'
Jay O'Shea 90'

Chris Ikonomidis 32'
Brendan Hamill 68'
Joshua Brillante 84'

Form Data

Victory 2 - 1 Macarthur

Melbourne City 1 - 3 Victory

Central Coast 0 - 0 Victory

Victory 2 - 0 Altona Magic

Green Gully 2 - 6 Victory

Central Coast 3 - 1 Victory

Brisbane Roar 2 - 3 Sydney FC

Auckland FC 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Goa 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar 3 - 4 Adelaide United

Victory 0 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Newcastle Jets